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Summary:
This article addresses several core principles of scenario planning as described by the author’s experiences using planning methodology. Scenario planning is about moving confidently towards tomorrow and towards the aspiration of what an organization wants to become. In the hands of a skilled facilitator this process can be a meaningful way of engaging stakeholders in a process of thoughtful change that strengthens the strategic intent of an organization.
Article Quote:
“Building scenarios is more art than science and while it engages the head, scenarios often more about passion, vision and heart. As a result, scenario planning is a useful tool that works best where there is leadership, openness to change, uncertainty future, and the time to process the uncertainty. Conversely, if the way forward is predetermined or an organization is in the midst of a crisis or otherwise does not have the capacity to absorb long-term change, scenario planning will be less helpful.”
Link: http://facilitationprocess.com/scenario-planning-as-a-facilitation-tool
When creating scenarios, one needs to build time into the process to twist and turn scenarios until there is alignment across several dimensions. When groups work together to bring a scenario into existence, they begin the work of creation.
Once created, the strategies and actions that support movement towards the realization of the scenario becomes a self-fulfilling direction. Possessing the right mind set from the very beginning will help bring the scenario into existence. A right mind set is positive to change and ‘rolls with the punches’.
For more on strategic planning, see http://www.performancesolutionstech.com/category/strategicplanning/
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